US500 Trading Signals
Algorithmic S&P 500 signals on the US cash session
One rules-based algorithm trades the S&P 500 in the first part of the New York cash session and posts every setup to Telegram with an exact entry, a stop-loss and three take-profit targets. At most one trade a session, flat before the close. Over three years of 5-minute data it took 487 trades and made +15.7 R after spread and slippage.
Built and run by Kamil Uchwat with mentor Paul Mears. About the team
US500 signal performance
Three years of 5-minute data, 487 trades, every one charged the spread quoted on its entry bar plus 0.20 points of slippage per side. Losing stretches included.
US500 equity curve
Cumulative R, week by week
Weekly resolution; the curve is flat in weeks without a trade.
Year by year
Every year at the same weight, the bad ones too
| Year | Trades | Win rate | Gross | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023from Sep | 57 | 49.1% | +7.4 R | +4.3 R |
| 2024 | 175 | 38.3% | +1.5 R | −7.1 R |
| 2025 | 148 | 47.3% | +23.9 R | +18.3 R |
| 2026to Sep | 107 | 39.3% | +3.8 R | +0.2 R |
Monthly net R
Swipe sideways to see every month →
Is the US500 edge real?
Every result is tested against the same trades taken in a random direction at the same cost, and the full portfolio comes out ahead by 0.089 R on every trade. Over three years of backtesting US500 made +15.7 R after trading costs across 487 trades. US500 is one part of a plan, and the plans are built to be traded whole. Each market tends to have its best runs at a different time, so their results add up: the edge comes from the sum of every trade a plan carries, across all of its instruments. To get the most from it, take every signal your plan sends, at the same risk.
- Premium (US500, US100, US30, USDJPY): 2,257 trades, +167.9 R after costs, +338% with profits compounded at 1% risk per trade.
- Diamond (DE40, US500, US100, US30, USDJPY): 2,787 trades, +215.1 R after costs, +576% with profits compounded at 1% risk per trade.
Plan figures are the backtest of each plan as one account, September 2023 to September 2026.
When US500 signals fire
The NYSE and Nasdaq cash session runs from 09:30 to 16:00 New York time, 15:30 to 22:00 CET for most of the year. Apart from the close, the opening hour trades the heaviest volume of the day, as overnight news and pre-market data get priced in.
Entry time
Half-hour buckets, New York time
Day of the week
Roughly the same number of trades every day
Holding time
From entry to the last position closing
A hundred trades is a small sample. A weekday or half-hour that looks weak here is most likely noise, not a rule to filter on, and the algorithm does not skip any of them. The holding-time split is different: it shows how the system makes money, by cutting losers early and letting the winners run.
What it costs to trade US500
A signal is only as good as the fill you get on it. These are the numbers to check against your own broker.
US500 has the tightest spread of the four, a median of 0.3 points, but also the smallest stop: 17.5 points, about 0.3% of price. That makes it the most cost-sensitive of the four. Its result reaches zero at about 0.46 points of slippage per side, so execution quality matters more here than anywhere else.
The return comes from the trades that stay open. Positions held for more than four hours made +126.8 R, while every group of trades closed within two hours lost money, −110.2 R between them.
What is the S&P 500?
The S&P 500 tracks about 500 of the largest US-listed companies, weighted by free-float market capitalisation and maintained by S&P Dow Jones Indices. It covers roughly 80% of the value of the US stock market, which is why most funds are measured against it.
Because it is cap-weighted, a handful of mega-cap technology companies carry a large share of the index. It is broader and usually calmer than the Nasdaq 100, but on most days its moves are still led by the same few names. Brokers quote the CFD as US500, SPX500 or US500Cash.
US500 at a glance
- Index
- S&P 500
- Broker symbols
- US500 · SPX500 · US500Cash · SP500
- Cash session
- 09:30-16:00 New York
- Signals
- US cash session, flat by 15:55 New York
- Plans
- Premium · Diamond
What moves the S&P 500
Inflation and jobs
CPI and the monthly jobs report come out at 08:30 New York, an hour before the open, and often decide the first hour of trading.
The Federal Reserve
FOMC decisions at 14:00 New York, and the press conference after them, reprice interest rates and with them every equity index.
Mega-cap earnings
Results from the largest members can move the whole index after hours and into the next open.
Bond yields
Rising Treasury yields weigh on valuations, most of all at the growth-heavy top of the index.
Anatomy of a US500 signal
Every message carries the same five levels, so there is nothing to interpret. You decide whether to take it and how much to risk.
- One trade, three positions. Each opens at the same entry with the same stop and a different target: 1.5R, 2R and 2.5R. Taking partial profit on the way lets the last position run.
- The stop is where the idea is wrong. It is set for each trade, not as a fixed number of points. On US500 the median stop was 17.5 points, about 0.3% of price.
- R is the unit. 1R is what you lose if the stop is hit. Sizing each trade so 1R is a small, fixed share of your account keeps every signal the same size of bet, whatever the index is doing.
Representative levels built from the median US500 stop, not a real trade.
How to read these numbers
Backtest statistics are easy to quote and easy to misread. Here is what each one on this page means, using the figures for this market.
R: risk as the unit
1R is the amount lost if the stop is hit. A +2R trade made twice the risk; a −1R trade lost it. Measuring in R makes the results independent of account size and of how many dollars or euros one US500 point is worth.
Win rate needs the payoff
42.5% winners looks weak on its own. With an average winner of 1.1 R and an average loser of 0.76 R, the expectancy is 0.425 × 1.1 − 0.575 × 0.76 ≈ +0.032 R per trade.
Profit factor
Everything won divided by everything lost. 1.0 is breakeven. At 1.07, each 1R lost on US500 was matched by 1.07R won.
Drawdown
The largest fall from a running high: 17.1 R, bottoming on 2025-02-28. Risking 0.5% of the account per trade, that is roughly 9% of the balance. Size for the drawdown you can sit through, not the return you hope for.
Gross and net
Gross is before trading costs, net is after the spread on each entry and 0.20 points of slippage per side. On US500 costs took 21.0 R out of 36.7 R gross. Every figure here is net unless it says gross.
Sortino and Sharpe
Return per unit of volatility, from daily results annualised over 252 trading days. Sharpe counts all volatility; Sortino only the losing days. US500 scores 0.61 Sortino and 0.38 Sharpe on its own; combining markets raises both.
More in the guides: win rate vs risk-reward, what R means and how to size a position, how to read a backtest, how to check a Telegram signal provider.
Get US500 signals on Telegram
US500 is in 2 plans. Each plan is a private Telegram channel; monthly or yearly, cancel anytime.
01How do US500 signals work?
Each US500 signal is posted to a private Telegram channel the moment the algorithm triggers. It gives the direction, the exact entry, a hard stop-loss and three take-profit targets at 1.5R, 2R and 2.5R, so one trade opens three positions. You place the orders with your own broker. Nothing is executed on your behalf.
02What time do US500 signals come?
During the US cash session, 09:30 to 16:00 New York time, which is 15:30 to 22:00 CET for most of the year. In the backtest 67% of US500 entries came before 11:00 New York, and everything is flat by 15:55.
03How many US500 signals are there per week?
About 3 trades a week on average, and never more than one per session: 487 trades over three years. The setup doesn't form every day, so quiet weeks are normal.
04Which plan includes US500 signals?
Premium ($99.99 a month) covers US500, US100 and US30 on the US session. Diamond ($129.99 a month) adds DE40 on the European open. Economic's only index is DE40, so it does not include US500. Every plan also carries the USDJPY Morning Range, a separate system.
The same algorithm on other indices
One system trades four indices across two sessions, and every plan also carries a separate USDJPY system. Compare the plans.
Backtested results are hypothetical and are not indicative of future performance. Index figures cover 2023-09-01 to 2026-09-25 on 5-minute data and are shown after the spread quoted at each trade’s entry plus 0.20 points of slippage per side, unless marked gross. Backtests have inherent limitations and do not reflect every effect of live execution. The index system went live in August 2026. This is a signal service: we do not manage money, execute trades on your behalf or give personalised advice. Trading leveraged CFDs carries a substantial risk of loss, and you may lose more than your deposit.