US30 Trading Signals
Algorithmic Dow Jones signals on the US cash session
One rules-based algorithm trades the Dow Jones Industrial Average in the first part of the New York cash session and posts every setup to Telegram with an exact entry, a stop-loss and three take-profit targets. At most one trade a session, flat before the close. Over three years of 5-minute data it took 489 trades and made +31.5 R after spread and slippage.
US30 signal performance
Three years of 5-minute data, 489 trades, every one charged the spread quoted on its entry bar plus 0.20 points of slippage per side. Losing stretches included.
US30 equity curve
Cumulative R, week by week
Largest drawdown 11.2 R, bottoming on 2024-10-15. Weekly resolution; the curve is flat in weeks without a trade.
Year by year
Every year at the same weight, the bad ones too
| Year | Trades | Win rate | Gross | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023from Sep | 67 | 41.8% | −2.5 R | −3.8 R |
| 2024 | 177 | 45.2% | +17.5 R | +15.6 R |
| 2025 | 161 | 47.2% | +20.8 R | +19.2 R |
| 2026to Aug | 84 | 45.2% | +1.2 R | +0.5 R |
Monthly net R
21 of 36 months positiveSwipe sideways to see every month →
When US30 signals fire
The NYSE cash session runs from 09:30 to 16:00 New York time, 15:30 to 22:00 CET for most of the year. The first hour carries the heaviest volume outside the close, as 08:30 data and overnight news get priced into the blue chips.
Entry time
Half-hour buckets, New York time
Day of the week
Roughly the same number of trades every day
Holding time
From entry to the last position closing
A hundred trades is a small sample. A weekday or half-hour that looks weak here is most likely noise, not a rule to filter on, and the algorithm does not skip any of them. The holding-time split is different: it shows how the system makes money, by cutting losers early and letting the winners run.
What it costs to trade US30
A signal is only as good as the fill you get on it. These are the numbers to check against your own broker.
The median US30 stop was 113.25 points, about 0.27% of price. Measured against a stop that size, a 0.7-point spread is small: costs took 0.011 R per trade, the lowest of the four, and the result holds up to about 3.41 points of slippage per side.
US30 also had the shallowest drawdown of the four, 11.2 R, and the best ratio of total return to drawdown (2.82). As on the other US indices, positions held for more than four hours made +93.9 R while trades closed within two hours lost −98.6 R.
What is the Dow Jones 30?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average tracks 30 large US blue-chip companies and dates back to 1896, the oldest of the major US benchmarks. Its members cover banking, healthcare, retail, industrials and technology.
The Dow is price-weighted: a member's influence depends on its share price, not on the size of the company, so a $500 share moves the index ten times as much as a $50 share. With the index in the tens of thousands of points, stops look large in points while being ordinary in percentage terms. Brokers quote the CFD as US30, DJ30 or WS30.
US30 at a glance
- Index
- Dow Jones 30
- Broker symbols
- US30 · DJ30 · WS30 · DJIA
- Cash session
- 09:30–16:00 New York
- Signals
- US cash session, flat by 15:55 New York
- Plans
- Premium · Diamond
What moves the Dow Jones 30
US macro data
The jobs report and CPI at 08:30 New York, and the ISM surveys at 10:00, move the Dow inside the window the algorithm trades.
The Federal Reserve
Rate decisions at 14:00 New York; the banks in the index react directly to the path of rates.
High-priced members
Because the index is price-weighted, results from its highest-priced shares move it more than the size of those companies suggests.
The economic cycle
Industrials, banks and consumer names make the Dow more sensitive to growth expectations than to the tech trade.
Anatomy of a US30 signal
Every message carries the same five levels, so there is nothing to interpret. You decide whether to take it and how much to risk.
- One trade, three positions. Each opens at the same entry with the same stop and a different target: 1.5R, 2R and 2.5R. Taking partial profit on the way lets the last position run.
- The stop is where the idea is wrong. It is set by the structure of the move, not by a fixed number of points. On US30 the median stop was 113.25 points, about 0.27% of price.
- R is the unit. 1R is what you lose if the stop is hit. Sizing each trade so 1R is a small, fixed share of your account keeps every signal the same size of bet, whatever the index is doing.
Representative levels built from the median US30 stop, not a real trade.
How to read these numbers
Backtest statistics are easy to quote and easy to misread. Here is what each one on this page means, using the figures for this market.
R: risk as the unit
1R is the amount lost if the stop is hit. A +2R trade made twice the risk; a −1R trade lost it. Measuring in R makes the results independent of account size and of how many dollars or euros one US30 point is worth.
Win rate needs the payoff
45.4% winners looks weak on its own. With an average winner of 1.16 R and an average loser of 0.84 R, the expectancy is 0.454 × 1.16 − 0.546 × 0.84 ≈ +0.064 R per trade.
Profit factor
Everything won divided by everything lost. 1.0 is breakeven. At 1.14, each 1R lost on US30 was matched by 1.14R won. Thin, but a thin edge repeated hundreds of times is how systematic trading works.
Drawdown
The largest fall from a running high: 11.2 R, bottoming on 2024-10-15. Risking 0.5% of the account per trade, that is roughly 6% of the balance. Size for the drawdown you can sit through, not the return you hope for.
Gross and net
Gross is before trading costs, net is after the spread on each entry and 0.20 points of slippage per side. On US30 costs took 5.5 R out of 37.0 R gross. Every figure here is net unless it says gross.
Sortino and Sharpe
Return per unit of volatility, from daily results annualised over 252 trading days. Sharpe counts all volatility; Sortino only the losing days. US30 scores 1.22 Sortino and 0.74 Sharpe on its own; combining markets raises both.
Is the US30 edge statistically real?
On its own, three years of US30 trades are not enough to tell its edge apart from noise (t = 1.52). The case rests on the pooled result: the three US indices together beat the random-direction control by 0.061 R per trade (t = 1.77), and the full four-market book by 0.092 R (t = 3.15). A t-statistic measures how far an average sits from zero in units of its own uncertainty; about 2 is the usual bar for “unlikely to be luck”.
Get US30 signals on Telegram
US30 is in 2 plans. Each plan is a private Telegram channel; monthly or yearly, cancel anytime.
01How do US30 signals work?
Each US30 signal is posted to a private Telegram channel the moment the algorithm triggers. It gives the direction, the exact entry, a hard stop-loss and three take-profit targets at 1.5R, 2R and 2.5R, so one trade opens three positions. You place the orders with your own broker. Nothing is executed on your behalf.
02What time do US30 signals come?
During the US cash session, 09:30 to 16:00 New York time, which is 15:30 to 22:00 CET for most of the year. In the backtest 71% of US30 entries came before 11:00 New York, and everything is flat by 15:55.
03How many US30 signals are there per week?
About 3.1 trades a week on average, and never more than one per session: 489 trades over three years. The setup doesn't form every day, so quiet weeks are normal.
04What is the win rate of the US30 signals?
45.4% of US30 trades closed in profit after costs. That is below half by design: the average winner was 1.16 R against an average loser of 0.84 R, a payoff of 1.37, so the 489 trades made +31.5 R in total. A win rate only means something next to the payoff.
05What spread do I need to trade US30 signals?
Brokers list it as US30, DJ30, WS30, DJIA. The backtest charged the spread quoted on each trade's entry bar, a median of 0.7 points, plus 0.20 points of slippage per side. The result reaches zero at about 3.41 points of slippage per side on top of the spread, so a broker quoting US30 much wider than that will eat the edge.
06Which plan includes US30 signals?
Premium ($99.99 a month) covers US500, US100 and US30 on the US session. Diamond ($129.99 a month) adds DE40 on the European open. Economic is DE40 only and does not include US30.
07Are US30 trades held overnight?
No. Every US30 trade closes in the session it opened in. The median trade lasted 2.8 hours and 90% closed within 5.5 hours, so there is no overnight or weekend exposure.
08Are these US30 results real trades?
They are backtested. The algorithm was replayed bar by bar over 5-minute data from 1 September 2023 to 31 August 2026 with no knowledge of what came next, and every figure is after spread and slippage unless it says gross. The system went live in August 2026. Backtested results are hypothetical and do not guarantee future returns.
The same algorithm on other indices
One system trades four indices across two sessions. Compare all four markets.
Backtested results are hypothetical and are not indicative of future performance. Figures cover 2023-09-01 to 2026-08-31 on 5-minute data and are shown after the spread quoted at each trade’s entry plus 0.20 points of slippage per side, unless marked gross. Backtests have inherent limitations and do not reflect every effect of live execution. The system went live in August 2026. This is a signal service: we do not manage money, execute trades on your behalf or give personalised advice. Trading leveraged CFDs carries a substantial risk of loss, and you may lose more than your deposit.