US cash sessionPremiumDiamond

US30 Trading Signals

Algorithmic Dow Jones signals on the US cash session

One rules-based algorithm trades the Dow Jones Industrial Average in the first part of the New York cash session and posts every setup to Telegram with an exact entry, a stop-loss and three take-profit targets. At most one trade a session, flat before the close. Over three years of 5-minute data it took 493 trades and made +23.0 R after spread and slippage.

Built and run by Kamil Uchwat with mentor Paul Mears. About the team

3.1
Trades per week on average, max one a session
41.4%
Win rate · payoff 1.56×
+23.0 R
Net result after costs, 3 years
15.6 R
Largest drawdown, peak to trough
Backtest

US30 signal performance

Three years of 5-minute data, 493 trades, every one charged the spread quoted on its entry bar plus 0.20 points of slippage per side. Losing stretches included.

Net R per trade
+0.047 R
+0.057 R before costs
Profit factor
1.10
Gross wins ÷ gross losses
Average win / loss
1.2 / 0.76
In R · payoff 1.56×
Sortino
0.88
Sharpe 0.54 · daily, annualised
Positive months
21 / 37
57% of months closed up
Return ÷ drawdown
1.47
+23.0 R over a 15.6 R drawdown
Median hold
2.3h
90% closed within 5.4h
Trades
493
Sep 2023 - Sep 2026

US30 equity curve

Cumulative R, week by week

+23.0 R net
Net of costs Gross, before costs (+28.3 R)
-200204060202420252026

Weekly resolution; the curve is flat in weeks without a trade.

Year by year

Every year at the same weight, the bad ones too

YearTradesWin rateNet
20236336.5%−3.2 R
202417443.1%+15.4 R
202515843.7%+16.8 R
20269837.8%−5.9 R
Best month
+6.8 R
Apr 2025
Worst month
−6.8 R
Sep 2026

Monthly net R

Swipe sideways to see every month →

Year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Year
2023
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
+1.9
−6.1
+0.2
+0.9
−3.2 R
2024
−2.9
+1.7
+2.1
−1.0
+5.0
+4.0
+4.4
−0.1
−6.1
+4.0
+0.8
+3.6
+15.4 R
2025
+1.1
−4.0
+2.0
+6.8
+1.4
+2.0
−0.6
−1.6
+5.6
−0.5
−0.8
+5.5
+16.8 R
2026
+3.2
+0.6
−0.4
+3.1
−0.6
−1.7
−1.2
−2.2
−6.8
·
·
·
−5.9 R

Is the US30 edge real?

Every result is tested against the same trades taken in a random direction at the same cost, and the full portfolio comes out ahead by 0.089 R on every trade. Over three years of backtesting US30 made +23.0 R after trading costs across 493 trades. US30 is one part of a plan, and the plans are built to be traded whole. Each market tends to have its best runs at a different time, so their results add up: the edge comes from the sum of every trade a plan carries, across all of its instruments. To get the most from it, take every signal your plan sends, at the same risk.

  • Premium (US500, US100, US30, USDJPY): 2,257 trades, +167.9 R after costs, +338% with profits compounded at 1% risk per trade.
  • Diamond (DE40, US500, US100, US30, USDJPY): 2,787 trades, +215.1 R after costs, +576% with profits compounded at 1% risk per trade.

Plan figures are the backtest of each plan as one account, September 2023 to September 2026.

Timing

When US30 signals fire

The NYSE cash session runs from 09:30 to 16:00 New York time, 15:30 to 22:00 CET for most of the year. The first hour carries the heaviest volume outside the close, as 08:30 data and overnight news get priced into the blue chips.

Entry time

Half-hour buckets, New York time

Share of tradesTradesNet R
10:00221+3.7 R
10:30128+0.3 R
11:0047+3.8 R
11:3032+3.6 R
12:0021+10.7 R
12:3011+1.2 R
13:0019−1.3 R
13:304−3.0 R
14:004+1.7 R
14:306+2.1 R

Day of the week

Roughly the same number of trades every day

Share of tradesTradesNet R
Mon97+5.1 R
Tue99+18.6 R
Wed99+9.2 R
Thu98−10.1 R
Fri100+0.2 R

Holding time

From entry to the last position closing

Share of tradesTradesNet R
<15m16−16.2 R
15-30m36−28.0 R
30-60m73−35.4 R
1-2h102−21.3 R
2-4h110+33.0 R
>4h156+90.8 R

A hundred trades is a small sample. A weekday or half-hour that looks weak here is most likely noise, not a rule to filter on, and the algorithm does not skip any of them. The holding-time split is different: it shows how the system makes money, by cutting losers early and letting the winners run.

Costs & volatility

What it costs to trade US30

A signal is only as good as the fill you get on it. These are the numbers to check against your own broker.

Median stop
115.5 pts
Distance from entry to stop
Stop as % of price
0.27%
How far price must move against you
Median spread
0.7 pts
Quoted on the entry bar
Cost per trade
0.011 R
Spread plus 0.20 pts slippage per side
Breakeven slippage
2.63 pts
Per side, on top of the spread

The median US30 stop was 115.5 points, about 0.27% of price. Measured against a stop that size, a 0.7-point spread is small: costs took 0.011 R per trade, the lowest of the four, and the result holds up to about 2.63 points of slippage per side.

US30 also had the shallowest drawdown of the four, 15.6 R. As on the other US indices, positions held for more than four hours made +90.8 R while trades closed within two hours lost −100.9 R.

The market

What is the Dow Jones 30?

The Dow Jones Industrial Average tracks 30 large US blue-chip companies and dates back to 1896, the oldest of the major US benchmarks. Its members cover banking, healthcare, retail, industrials and technology.

The Dow is price-weighted: a member's influence depends on its share price, not on the size of the company, so a $500 share moves the index ten times as much as a $50 share. With the index in the tens of thousands of points, stops look large in points while being ordinary in percentage terms. Brokers quote the CFD as US30, DJ30 or WS30.

US30 at a glance

Index
Dow Jones 30
Broker symbols
US30 · DJ30 · WS30 · DJIA
Cash session
09:30-16:00 New York
Signals
US cash session, flat by 15:55 New York
Plans
Premium · Diamond

What moves the Dow Jones 30

US macro data

The jobs report and CPI at 08:30 New York, and the ISM surveys at 10:00, move the Dow inside the window the algorithm trades.

The Federal Reserve

Rate decisions at 14:00 New York; the banks in the index react directly to the path of rates.

High-priced members

Because the index is price-weighted, results from its highest-priced shares move it more than the size of those companies suggests.

The economic cycle

Industrials, banks and consumer names make the Dow more sensitive to growth expectations than to the tech trade.

How a signal works

Anatomy of a US30 signal

Every message carries the same five levels, so there is nothing to interpret. You decide whether to take it and how much to risk.

  • One trade, three positions. Each opens at the same entry with the same stop and a different target: 1.5R, 2R and 2.5R. Taking partial profit on the way lets the last position run.
  • The stop is where the idea is wrong. It is set for each trade, not as a fixed number of points. On US30 the median stop was 115.5 points, about 0.27% of price.
  • R is the unit. 1R is what you lose if the stop is hit. Sizing each trade so 1R is a small, fixed share of your account keeps every signal the same size of bet, whatever the index is doing.
US30BUY
Illustration
Entry45,820.0
Stop-loss−1R45,704.5
TP1+1.5R45,993.3
TP2+2R46,051.0
TP3+2.5R46,108.8

Representative levels built from the median US30 stop, not a real trade.

Learn

How to read these numbers

Backtest statistics are easy to quote and easy to misread. Here is what each one on this page means, using the figures for this market.

R: risk as the unit

1R is the amount lost if the stop is hit. A +2R trade made twice the risk; a −1R trade lost it. Measuring in R makes the results independent of account size and of how many dollars or euros one US30 point is worth.

Win rate needs the payoff

41.4% winners looks weak on its own. With an average winner of 1.2 R and an average loser of 0.76 R, the expectancy is 0.414 × 1.2 − 0.586 × 0.76 ≈ +0.047 R per trade.

Profit factor

Everything won divided by everything lost. 1.0 is breakeven. At 1.1, each 1R lost on US30 was matched by 1.1R won.

Drawdown

The largest fall from a running high: 15.6 R, bottoming on 2026-09-18. Risking 0.5% of the account per trade, that is roughly 8% of the balance. Size for the drawdown you can sit through, not the return you hope for.

Gross and net

Gross is before trading costs, net is after the spread on each entry and 0.20 points of slippage per side. On US30 costs took 5.3 R out of 28.3 R gross. Every figure here is net unless it says gross.

Sortino and Sharpe

Return per unit of volatility, from daily results annualised over 252 trading days. Sharpe counts all volatility; Sortino only the losing days. US30 scores 0.88 Sortino and 0.54 Sharpe on its own; combining markets raises both.

More in the guides: win rate vs risk-reward, what R means and how to size a position, how to read a backtest, how to check a Telegram signal provider.

Plans

Get US30 signals on Telegram

US30 is in 2 plans. Each plan is a private Telegram channel; monthly or yearly, cancel anytime.

Premium

Most Popular
$99.99/ month

US500, US100 and US30 on the US cash session, plus the USDJPY Morning Range.

US500US100US30USDJPY

Diamond

Best Value
$129.99/ month

All four indices and the USDJPY Morning Range on one account: the European and US sessions together.

DE40US500US100US30USDJPY
FAQ

US30 signals, answered

Still unsure? Email support@tfx-signals.com before you subscribe.

01

How do US30 signals work?

Each US30 signal is posted to a private Telegram channel the moment the algorithm triggers. It gives the direction, the exact entry, a hard stop-loss and three take-profit targets at 1.5R, 2R and 2.5R, so one trade opens three positions. You place the orders with your own broker. Nothing is executed on your behalf.

02

What time do US30 signals come?

During the US cash session, 09:30 to 16:00 New York time, which is 15:30 to 22:00 CET for most of the year. In the backtest 71% of US30 entries came before 11:00 New York, and everything is flat by 15:55.

03

How many US30 signals are there per week?

About 3.1 trades a week on average, and never more than one per session: 493 trades over three years. The setup doesn't form every day, so quiet weeks are normal.

04

Which plan includes US30 signals?

Premium ($99.99 a month) covers US500, US100 and US30 on the US session. Diamond ($129.99 a month) adds DE40 on the European open. Economic's only index is DE40, so it does not include US30. Every plan also carries the USDJPY Morning Range, a separate system.

Other markets

The same algorithm on other indices

One system trades four indices across two sessions, and every plan also carries a separate USDJPY system. Compare the plans.

Backtested results are hypothetical and are not indicative of future performance. Index figures cover 2023-09-01 to 2026-09-25 on 5-minute data and are shown after the spread quoted at each trade’s entry plus 0.20 points of slippage per side, unless marked gross. Backtests have inherent limitations and do not reflect every effect of live execution. The index system went live in August 2026. This is a signal service: we do not manage money, execute trades on your behalf or give personalised advice. Trading leveraged CFDs carries a substantial risk of loss, and you may lose more than your deposit.