US100 Trading Signals
Algorithmic Nasdaq 100 signals on the US cash session
One rules-based algorithm trades the Nasdaq 100 in the first part of the New York cash session and posts every setup to Telegram with an exact entry, a stop-loss and three take-profit targets. At most one trade a session, flat before the close. Over three years of 5-minute data it took 494 trades and made +19.2 R after spread and slippage.
US100 signal performance
Three years of 5-minute data, 494 trades, every one charged the spread quoted on its entry bar plus 0.20 points of slippage per side. Losing stretches included.
US100 equity curve
Cumulative R, week by week
Largest drawdown 20.9 R, bottoming on 2024-07-01. Weekly resolution; the curve is flat in weeks without a trade.
Year by year
Every year at the same weight, the bad ones too
| Year | Trades | Win rate | Gross | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023from Sep | 64 | 42.2% | −6.3 R | −8.0 R |
| 2024 | 176 | 43.8% | +3.9 R | +1.1 R |
| 2025 | 144 | 50.7% | +21.6 R | +19.3 R |
| 2026to Aug | 110 | 47.3% | +8.0 R | +6.8 R |
Monthly net R
20 of 36 months positiveSwipe sideways to see every month →
When US100 signals fire
The Nasdaq cash session runs from 09:30 to 16:00 New York time, 15:30 to 22:00 CET for most of the year. The opening hour is when pre-market earnings reactions and 08:30 data releases meet full cash-market volume.
Entry time
Half-hour buckets, New York time
Day of the week
Roughly the same number of trades every day
Holding time
From entry to the last position closing
A hundred trades is a small sample. A weekday or half-hour that looks weak here is most likely noise, not a rule to filter on, and the algorithm does not skip any of them. The holding-time split is different: it shows how the system makes money, by cutting losers early and letting the winners run.
What it costs to trade US100
A signal is only as good as the fill you get on it. These are the numbers to check against your own broker.
US100 is the most volatile of the four. Its median stop was 84.53 points, about 0.42% of price, the widest relative to price. Wide stops make the spread small by comparison: costs took only 0.016 R per trade, and the result holds up to about 1.61 points of slippage per side.
As on the other US indices, the return comes from trades that stay open. Positions held for more than four hours made +112.2 R; trades closed within two hours lost −120.4 R between them.
What is the Nasdaq 100?
The Nasdaq 100 tracks the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market, with a modified market-cap weighting that caps the very largest names. Technology, communication services and consumer companies make up most of it, which makes it the benchmark for large-cap growth stocks.
That concentration makes it faster than the S&P 500: wider daily ranges in percentage terms and sharper reactions to interest rates and earnings. Brokers quote the CFD as US100, USTEC or NAS100. The broker the system runs on calls it USTEC; this site calls it US100.
US100 at a glance
- Index
- Nasdaq 100
- Broker symbols
- US100 · USTEC · NAS100 · NDX
- Cash session
- 09:30–16:00 New York
- Signals
- US cash session, flat by 15:55 New York
- Plans
- Premium · Diamond
What moves the Nasdaq 100
Interest rates
Growth companies are valued on earnings far in the future, so Treasury yields and Fed expectations hit the Nasdaq harder than other indices.
Big-tech earnings
A few companies make up a large part of the index, and their results and guidance can move it by a percent or more.
US macro data
CPI, the jobs report and retail sales at 08:30 New York set the tone before the cash open.
Semiconductors
Chipmakers are a large and volatile part of the index, and news from the sector spreads to the rest of it quickly.
Anatomy of a US100 signal
Every message carries the same five levels, so there is nothing to interpret. You decide whether to take it and how much to risk.
- One trade, three positions. Each opens at the same entry with the same stop and a different target: 1.5R, 2R and 2.5R. Taking partial profit on the way lets the last position run.
- The stop is where the idea is wrong. It is set by the structure of the move, not by a fixed number of points. On US100 the median stop was 84.53 points, about 0.42% of price.
- R is the unit. 1R is what you lose if the stop is hit. Sizing each trade so 1R is a small, fixed share of your account keeps every signal the same size of bet, whatever the index is doing.
Representative levels built from the median US100 stop, not a real trade.
How to read these numbers
Backtest statistics are easy to quote and easy to misread. Here is what each one on this page means, using the figures for this market.
R: risk as the unit
1R is the amount lost if the stop is hit. A +2R trade made twice the risk; a −1R trade lost it. Measuring in R makes the results independent of account size and of how many dollars or euros one US100 point is worth.
Win rate needs the payoff
46.4% winners looks weak on its own. With an average winner of 1.05 R and an average loser of 0.84 R, the expectancy is 0.464 × 1.05 − 0.536 × 0.84 ≈ +0.039 R per trade.
Profit factor
Everything won divided by everything lost. 1.0 is breakeven. At 1.09, each 1R lost on US100 was matched by 1.09R won. Thin, but a thin edge repeated hundreds of times is how systematic trading works.
Drawdown
The largest fall from a running high: 20.9 R, bottoming on 2024-07-01. Risking 0.5% of the account per trade, that is roughly 10% of the balance. Size for the drawdown you can sit through, not the return you hope for.
Gross and net
Gross is before trading costs, net is after the spread on each entry and 0.20 points of slippage per side. On US100 costs took 8.0 R out of 27.2 R gross. Every figure here is net unless it says gross.
Sortino and Sharpe
Return per unit of volatility, from daily results annualised over 252 trading days. Sharpe counts all volatility; Sortino only the losing days. US100 scores 0.74 Sortino and 0.46 Sharpe on its own; combining markets raises both.
Is the US100 edge statistically real?
US100 is the weakest of the four on its own (t = 1.16), and three years of its trades are nowhere near enough to call its edge real by themselves. The case rests on the pooled result: the three US indices together beat the random-direction control by 0.061 R per trade (t = 1.77), and the full four-market book by 0.092 R (t = 3.15). A t-statistic measures how far an average sits from zero in units of its own uncertainty; about 2 is the usual bar for “unlikely to be luck”.
Get US100 signals on Telegram
US100 is in 2 plans. Each plan is a private Telegram channel; monthly or yearly, cancel anytime.
01How do US100 signals work?
Each US100 signal is posted to a private Telegram channel the moment the algorithm triggers. It gives the direction, the exact entry, a hard stop-loss and three take-profit targets at 1.5R, 2R and 2.5R, so one trade opens three positions. You place the orders with your own broker. Nothing is executed on your behalf.
02What time do US100 signals come?
During the US cash session, 09:30 to 16:00 New York time, which is 15:30 to 22:00 CET for most of the year. In the backtest 72% of US100 entries came before 11:00 New York, and everything is flat by 15:55.
03How many US100 signals are there per week?
About 3.2 trades a week on average, and never more than one per session: 494 trades over three years. The setup doesn't form every day, so quiet weeks are normal.
04What is the win rate of the US100 signals?
46.4% of US100 trades closed in profit after costs. That is below half by design: the average winner was 1.05 R against an average loser of 0.84 R, a payoff of 1.26, so the 494 trades made +19.2 R in total. A win rate only means something next to the payoff.
05What spread do I need to trade US100 signals?
Brokers list it as US100, USTEC, NAS100, NDX. The backtest charged the spread quoted on each trade's entry bar, a median of 0.9 points, plus 0.20 points of slippage per side. The result reaches zero at about 1.61 points of slippage per side on top of the spread, so a broker quoting US100 much wider than that will eat the edge.
06Which plan includes US100 signals?
Premium ($99.99 a month) covers US500, US100 and US30 on the US session. Diamond ($129.99 a month) adds DE40 on the European open. Economic is DE40 only and does not include US100.
07Are US100 trades held overnight?
No. Every US100 trade closes in the session it opened in. The median trade lasted 3 hours and 90% closed within 5.7 hours, so there is no overnight or weekend exposure.
08Are these US100 results real trades?
They are backtested. The algorithm was replayed bar by bar over 5-minute data from 1 September 2023 to 31 August 2026 with no knowledge of what came next, and every figure is after spread and slippage unless it says gross. The system went live in August 2026. Backtested results are hypothetical and do not guarantee future returns.
The same algorithm on other indices
One system trades four indices across two sessions. Compare all four markets.
Backtested results are hypothetical and are not indicative of future performance. Figures cover 2023-09-01 to 2026-08-31 on 5-minute data and are shown after the spread quoted at each trade’s entry plus 0.20 points of slippage per side, unless marked gross. Backtests have inherent limitations and do not reflect every effect of live execution. The system went live in August 2026. This is a signal service: we do not manage money, execute trades on your behalf or give personalised advice. Trading leveraged CFDs carries a substantial risk of loss, and you may lose more than your deposit.